Eerste Divisie · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Emmen
Home
1-2
Full time
De Oude Meerdijk
De Graafschap
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
8%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Emmen wins
0
Draws
0
De Graafschap wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
6%
95%
Attack
33%
20%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Emmen
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.60
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
De Graafschap
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
3.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Emmen | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Emmen
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
De Graafschap
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Emmen face De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie. Emmen have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 12 (2.4 points per game). De Graafschap have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 17 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 82% probability backing Emmen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Emmen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Emmen, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for De Graafschap. Our top recommended betting pick is Emmen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk as part of the Eerste Divisie.
