Eerste Divisie · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
MVV
Home
0-4
Full time
De Geusselt
Almere City FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the MVV v Almere City FC pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
MVV wins
0
Draws
0
Almere City FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
73%
33%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
MVV
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Almere City FC
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| MVV | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
MVV
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Almere City FC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
MVV face Almere City FC in Eerste Divisie. MVV have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (2 points per game). Almere City FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 45% probability backing MVV, home advantage and superior chance creation make MVV to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for MVV, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Almere City FC. Our top recommended betting pick is MVV Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at De Geusselt as part of the Eerste Divisie.
