AfriPredictions
Eerste Divisie · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
MVV
Home
0-4
Full time
De Geusselt
Almere City FC
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
1 @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45% 2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68% 1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66% 1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66% 1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
Recent form — last 5
MVV MVV
W D L W W
3-1-1
W-D-L
8:4
Goals
2
PPG
Alm Almere City FC
D L W W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
Head-to-head
3
MVV wins
1
Draws
1
Almere City FC wins
11 Apr 2026 MVV 1 - 0 Almere City FC
11 Nov 2025 Almere City FC 0 - 2 MVV
11 Jun 2025 MVV 3 - 0 Almere City FC
11 Jan 2025 Almere City FC 0 - 0 MVV
11 Aug 2024 MVV 1 - 0 Almere City FC
Why this prediction
66% Recent form 46%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 28%
60% Head-to-head 20%
45% Win probability 33%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
4 MVV MVV 24 15 7 2 +4 52
10 Alm Almere City FC 24 13 8 3 +18 47
Match Preview & Analysis

As MVV prepare to square off against Almere City FC in Eerste Divisie action, statistical analysis points toward an intriguing tactical contest. MVV enters this match with 3 wins from their past 5 outings, averaging 2 points per game while finding the net 8 times. Meanwhile, Almere City FC has registered a 5-match record of 2-1-2, displaying resilient defensive organization with 6 goals conceded.

Examining the historical head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings, MVV has claimed 3 victories compared to 1 for Almere City FC, with 1 encounters ending in a stalemate. In terms of goal dynamics, the probability of Over 2.5 Goals stands at 66%, while Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is projected at 66%.

With evenly matched metrics (45% vs 33%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (1). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for MVV, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Almere City FC. Our top recommended betting pick is 1.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at De Geusselt as part of the Eerste Divisie.
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