Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio 10 de Diciembre
Piratas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.44
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
9%
Away
88%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Draw/Away
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins
0
Draws
0
Piratas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
88%
Home and away record
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Piratas
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Piratas | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Piratas
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Piratas |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Cruz Azul Hidalgo face Piratas in Liga de Expansión MX. Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Piratas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
Piratas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 88% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Piratas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 88% probability for Piratas. Our top recommended betting pick is Piratas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 10 de Diciembre as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
