AfriPredictions
Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio 10 de Diciembre
Piratas
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
2 @ 1.07
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.44
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
9%
Away
88%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
88% 1.07
Double Chance
Draw/Away
97% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67% 1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68% 1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
Recent form — last 5
Cru Cruz Azul Hidalgo
D L W W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
Pir Piratas
W W L W W
4-0-1
W-D-L
10:4
Goals
2.4
PPG
Head-to-head
2
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins
1
Draws
2
Piratas wins
11 Apr 2026 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2 - 0 Piratas
11 Nov 2025 Piratas 0 - 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Jun 2025 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0 - 0 Piratas
11 Jan 2025 Piratas 0 - 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Aug 2024 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2 - 0 Piratas
Why this prediction
46% Recent form 80%
84% Attack 95%
28% Defence 52%
40% Head-to-head 40%
5% Win probability 88%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
3 Cru Cruz Azul Hidalgo 24 8 6 10 +18 30
8 Pir Piratas 24 10 6 8 +16 36
Match Preview & Analysis

As Cruz Azul Hidalgo prepare to square off against Piratas in Liga de Expansión MX action, statistical analysis points toward an intriguing tactical contest. Cruz Azul Hidalgo enters this match with 2 wins from their past 5 outings, averaging 1.4 points per game while finding the net 7 times. Meanwhile, Piratas has registered a 5-match record of 4-0-1, displaying resilient defensive organization with 4 goals conceded.

Examining the historical head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings, Cruz Azul Hidalgo has claimed 2 victories compared to 2 for Piratas, with 1 encounters ending in a stalemate. In terms of goal dynamics, the probability of Over 2.5 Goals stands at 67%, while Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is projected at 32%.

With evenly matched metrics (3% vs 88%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 88% probability for Piratas. Our top recommended betting pick is 2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 10 de Diciembre as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
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