FAW Championship · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Pontypridd Town
Home
0-1
Full time
USW Sports Park
Afan Lido
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
10%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pontypridd Town wins
0
Draws
0
Afan Lido wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Pontypridd Town
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Afan Lido
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Pontypridd Town | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 100% 5/5 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Pontypridd Town
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Afan Lido
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pontypridd Town |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 10 |
Afan Lido |
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pontypridd Town face Afan Lido in FAW Championship. Pontypridd Town have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 10 (2.6 points per game). Afan Lido have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 76% probability backing Pontypridd Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pontypridd Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Pontypridd Town, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Afan Lido. Our top recommended betting pick is Pontypridd Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at USW Sports Park as part of the FAW Championship.
