FAW Championship · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Denbigh Town
Home
5-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Bala Town
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.87 - 2.3
Win probability
Home
7%
Draw
11%
Away
82%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Draw/Away
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Denbigh Town wins
0
Draws
0
Bala Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
80%
40%
Attack
66%
26%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
7%
Win probability
82%
Home and away record
Denbigh Town
last 3 at home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Bala Town
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Denbigh Town | Bala Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Denbigh Town
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Bala Town
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Bala Town |
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |
Denbigh Town |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Denbigh Town face Bala Town in FAW Championship. Denbigh Town have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game). Bala Town have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Bala Town's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 82% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Bala Town to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 7% win probability for Denbigh Town, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 82% probability for Bala Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Bala Town Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
