La Liga · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Sevilla
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Valencia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sevilla wins
0
Draws
0
Valencia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
6%
53%
Attack
13%
46%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
32%
Team news
Sevilla
- Marcao · Muscle Injury
- I. Romero · Knee Injury
- M. Sierra · Shoulder Injury
- M. Bueno · Red Card
- Peque · Hamstring Injury
- I. Munoz · Injury
- J. Guridi · Muscle Injury
- G. Kochorashvili · Calf Injury
Valencia
- S. Canos · Knee Injury
- J. Copete · Coach's decision
- D. Lopez · Knee Injury
- H. Elliott · Red Card
- D. Otorbi · Hamstring Injury
- K. van Oevelen · Knee Injury
- D. Foulquier · Knee Injury
- U. Sadiq · Muscle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Sevilla
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Valencia
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sevilla | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Sevilla
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Valencia
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sevilla face Valencia in La Liga. Sevilla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Valencia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 45% probability backing Sevilla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sevilla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Sevilla, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Valencia. Our top recommended betting pick is Sevilla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the La Liga.
