Liga Profesional Argentina · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Newells Old Boys
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Velez Sarsfield
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
26%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newells Old Boys wins
0
Draws
0
Velez Sarsfield wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Newells Old Boys
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Velez Sarsfield
last 4 away from home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Newells Old Boys | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Newells Old Boys
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Velez Sarsfield
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Velez Sarsfield |
32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | +14 | 56 |
| 22 |
Newells Old Boys |
32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | -9 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newells Old Boys face Velez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional Argentina. Newells Old Boys have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Velez Sarsfield have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Velez Sarsfield's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Velez Sarsfield to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Newells Old Boys, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Velez Sarsfield. Our top recommended betting pick is Velez Sarsfield Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
