AfriPredictions
Liga Profesional Argentina · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Newells Old Boys
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Velez Sarsfield
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
2 @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
26%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56% 1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82% 1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
Recent form — last 5
New Newells Old Boys
L W D L W
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
Vel Velez Sarsfield
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
Head-to-head
3
Newells Old Boys wins
1
Draws
1
Velez Sarsfield wins
11 Apr 2026 Newells Old Boys 1 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
11 Nov 2025 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 2 Newells Old Boys
11 Jun 2025 Newells Old Boys 3 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
11 Jan 2025 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Newells Old Boys
11 Aug 2024 Newells Old Boys 1 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Why this prediction
46% Recent form 60%
84% Attack 95%
28% Defence 40%
60% Head-to-head 20%
18% Win probability 56%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
5 New Newells Old Boys 24 12 8 4 +12 44
9 Vel Velez Sarsfield 24 16 7 1 +12 55
Match Preview & Analysis

As Newells Old Boys prepare to square off against Velez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional Argentina action, statistical analysis points toward an intriguing tactical contest. Newells Old Boys enters this match with 2 wins from their past 5 outings, averaging 1.4 points per game while finding the net 7 times. Meanwhile, Velez Sarsfield has registered a 5-match record of 3-0-2, displaying resilient defensive organization with 5 goals conceded.

Examining the historical head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings, Newells Old Boys has claimed 3 victories compared to 1 for Velez Sarsfield, with 1 encounters ending in a stalemate. In terms of goal dynamics, the probability of Over 2.5 Goals stands at 50%, while Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is projected at 50%.

With evenly matched metrics (18% vs 56%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Newells Old Boys, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Velez Sarsfield. Our top recommended betting pick is 2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
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