Serie A · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Coritiba
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
29%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coritiba wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Paranaense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Coritiba
last 5 at home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Atletico Paranaense
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coritiba | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Coritiba
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Atletico Paranaense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coritiba face Atletico Paranaense in Serie A. Coritiba have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 49% probability backing Coritiba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coritiba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Coritiba, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Atletico Paranaense. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
