Liga Pro Serie B · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
El Nacional
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
22 de Julio
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
28%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
El Nacional wins
0
Draws
0
22 de Julio wins
31 Jul 2026
22 de Julio
1 - 3
El Nacional
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
5%
13%
Attack
6%
53%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
53%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
El Nacional
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
22 de Julio
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.20
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| El Nacional | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 1/9 11% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 7/9 78% |
At half time
El Nacional
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
22 de Julio
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
38%
Behind
63%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
22 de Julio |
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 |
El Nacional |
22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
El Nacional face 22 de Julio in Liga Pro Serie B. El Nacional have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). 22 de Julio have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 11 (0 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, El Nacional won 1, 22 de Julio won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing El Nacional, home advantage and superior chance creation make El Nacional to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for El Nacional, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for 22 de Julio. Our top recommended betting pick is El Nacional Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Pro Serie B.
