III Liga - Group 2 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Lech Poznań II
Home
2-1
Full time
Amica Wronki Stadium
Noteć Czarnków
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
18%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lech Poznań II wins
0
Draws
0
Noteć Czarnków wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
80%
60%
Attack
73%
26%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Lech Poznań II
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Noteć Czarnków
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Lech Poznań II | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/9 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Lech Poznań II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Noteć Czarnków
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Lech Poznań II |
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 27 |
| 9 |
Noteć Czarnków |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lech Poznań II face Noteć Czarnków in III Liga - Group 2. Lech Poznań II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game). Noteć Czarnków have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 54% probability backing Lech Poznań II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lech Poznań II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Lech Poznań II, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Noteć Czarnków. Our top recommended betting pick is Lech Poznań II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Amica Wronki Stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 2.
