Segunda Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Portimonense
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Tondela
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
24%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portimonense wins
0
Draws
0
Tondela wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Portimonense
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Tondela
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Portimonense | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Portimonense
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
17%
Behind
50%
Tondela
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Portimonense face Tondela in Segunda Liga. Portimonense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Tondela have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Portimonense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portimonense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Portimonense, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Tondela. Our top recommended betting pick is Portimonense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda Liga.
