League One · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Changchun Yatai
Home
1-0
Full time
Development Area Stadium
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
25%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Changchun Yatai v Heilongjiang Lava Spring pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Changchun Yatai wins
0
Draws
0
Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Changchun Yatai
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
last 6 away from home
0W
3D
3L
0.50
points a game
1.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Changchun Yatai | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Changchun Yatai
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Changchun Yatai |
24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 13 |
Heilongjiang Lava Spring |
24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -11 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Changchun Yatai face Heilongjiang Lava Spring in League One. Changchun Yatai have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Heilongjiang Lava Spring have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Heilongjiang Lava Spring to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Changchun Yatai, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Our top recommended betting pick is Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium as part of the League One.
