1. Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Smiltene
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Riga Mariners
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.46
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
7%
Away
89%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Draw/Away
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Smiltene wins
0
Draws
0
Riga Mariners wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
95%
46%
Attack
95%
5%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
89%
Home and away record
Smiltene
last 6 at home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
1.33
scored a game
3.83
conceded a game
Riga Mariners
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Smiltene | Riga Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Smiltene
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Riga Mariners
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
10%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Smiltene face Riga Mariners in 1. Liga. Smiltene have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 18 (0.6 points per game). Riga Mariners have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 4 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Riga Mariners's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 89% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Riga Mariners to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Smiltene, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 89% probability for Riga Mariners. Our top recommended betting pick is Riga Mariners Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
