III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Chełmianka Chełm
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
11%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chełmianka Chełm wins
0
Draws
0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
46%
93%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Chełmianka Chełm
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.40
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chełmianka Chełm | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 67% 6/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Chełmianka Chełm
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
78%
Level
11%
Behind
11%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chełmianka Chełm |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 40 |
| 10 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chełmianka Chełm face Siarka Tarnobrzeg in III Liga - Group 4. Chełmianka Chełm have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Chełmianka Chełm, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chełmianka Chełm to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Chełmianka Chełm, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Our top recommended betting pick is Chełmianka Chełm Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
