3. Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
2-1
Full time
Merkur Spiel-Arena
MSV Duisburg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
18%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
0
Draws
0
MSV Duisburg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
80%
20%
Attack
86%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Fortuna Düsseldorf
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
MSV Duisburg
last 7 away from home
4W
3D
0L
2.14
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Fortuna Düsseldorf
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
MSV Duisburg
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MSV Duisburg |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 10 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fortuna Düsseldorf face MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga. Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). MSV Duisburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 85%.
With a 47% probability backing Fortuna Düsseldorf, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fortuna Düsseldorf to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for MSV Duisburg. Our top recommended betting pick is Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 85% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena as part of the 3. Liga.
