Regionalliga - Nordost · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Erzgebirge Aue
Home
2-1
Full time
Erzgebirgsstadion
Luckenwalde
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Erzgebirge Aue wins
0
Draws
0
Luckenwalde wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
20%
33%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erz Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 15 | Luc Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Erzgebirge Aue face Luckenwalde in Regionalliga - Nordost. Erzgebirge Aue have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Luckenwalde have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Erzgebirge Aue, home advantage and superior chance creation make Erzgebirge Aue to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Erzgebirge Aue, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Luckenwalde. Our top recommended betting pick is Erzgebirge Aue Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion as part of the Regionalliga - Nordost.
