Regionalliga - SudWest · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
SGV Freiberg
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
FSV Mainz 05 II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
SGV Freiberg wins
0
Draws
0
FSV Mainz 05 II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
SGV Freiberg
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
FSV Mainz 05 II
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| SGV Freiberg | FSV Mainz 05 II | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
SGV Freiberg
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
FSV Mainz 05 II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
SGV Freiberg |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 15 |
FSV Mainz 05 II |
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
SGV Freiberg face FSV Mainz 05 II in Regionalliga - SudWest. SGV Freiberg have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). FSV Mainz 05 II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
FSV Mainz 05 II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for FSV Mainz 05 II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for SGV Freiberg, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for FSV Mainz 05 II. Our top recommended betting pick is FSV Mainz 05 II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Regionalliga - SudWest.
