Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Second League - Group 1 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Pobeda
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadion Spartak
Astrakhan
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pobeda wins
0
Draws
0
Astrakhan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
40%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Pobeda
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Astrakhan
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pobeda | Astrakhan | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Pobeda
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Astrakhan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Pobeda |
20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | +11 | 33 |
| 11 |
Astrakhan |
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pobeda face Astrakhan in Second League - Group 1. Pobeda have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Astrakhan have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Pobeda, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Astrakhan. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak as part of the Second League - Group 1.
