Derde Divisie · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Excelsior '31
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Purmersteijn
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
12%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excelsior '31 wins
0
Draws
0
Purmersteijn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
66%
93%
Attack
80%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Excelsior '31
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Purmersteijn
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Excelsior '31 | Purmersteijn | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 5/5 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Excelsior '31
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Purmersteijn
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Excelsior '31 |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 8 |
Purmersteijn |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior '31 face Purmersteijn in Derde Divisie. Excelsior '31 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Purmersteijn have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 85%.
With a 70% probability backing Excelsior '31, home advantage and superior chance creation make Excelsior '31 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Excelsior '31, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Purmersteijn. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior '31 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 85% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
