Derde Divisie · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Harkemase Boys
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Staphorst
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Harkemase Boys wins
0
Draws
0
Staphorst wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
66%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Harkemase Boys
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Staphorst
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Harkemase Boys | Staphorst | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Harkemase Boys
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Staphorst
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Harkemase Boys |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 15 |
Staphorst |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Harkemase Boys face Staphorst in Derde Divisie. Harkemase Boys have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Staphorst have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Harkemase Boys, home advantage and superior chance creation make Harkemase Boys to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Harkemase Boys, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Staphorst. Our top recommended betting pick is Harkemase Boys Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
