Derde Divisie · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Poortugaal
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Gemert
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
29%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Poortugaal wins
0
Draws
0
Gemert wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Poortugaal
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Gemert
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Poortugaal | Gemert | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Poortugaal
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Gemert
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
83%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Poortugaal face Gemert in Derde Divisie. Poortugaal have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Gemert have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 54% probability backing Poortugaal, home advantage and superior chance creation make Poortugaal to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Poortugaal, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Gemert. Our top recommended betting pick is Poortugaal Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
