National 1 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Aubagne
Home
1-2
Full time
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Concarneau
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.13
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
17%
Away
74%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Draw/Away
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aubagne wins
0
Draws
0
Concarneau wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
13%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
74%
Home and away record
Aubagne
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Concarneau
last 5 away from home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aubagne | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 67% 4/6 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Aubagne
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Concarneau
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aubagne face Concarneau in National 1. Aubagne have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Concarneau have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Concarneau's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 74% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Concarneau to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Aubagne, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 74% probability for Concarneau. Our top recommended betting pick is Concarneau Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny as part of the National 1.
