National 1 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Home
0-1
Full time
Stade Marcel-Verchere
Bastia
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bourg-en-bresse 01 wins
0
Draws
0
Bastia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Bourg-en-bresse 01
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Bastia
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 71% 5/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Bourg-en-bresse 01
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
14%
Behind
71%
Bastia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Bastia |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bourg-en-bresse 01 face Bastia in National 1. Bourg-en-bresse 01 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game). Bastia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Bourg-en-bresse 01, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Bastia. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere as part of the National 1.
