National 1 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Thionville Lusitanos
Home
0-4
Full time
Stadium Plaine
Rouen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Thionville Lusitanos wins
0
Draws
0
Rouen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
73%
80%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Thionville Lusitanos
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Rouen
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Thionville Lusitanos | Rouen | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/7 71% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Thionville Lusitanos
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Rouen
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Rouen |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 11 |
Thionville Lusitanos |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Thionville Lusitanos face Rouen in National 1. Thionville Lusitanos have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Rouen have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Thionville Lusitanos, home advantage and superior chance creation make Thionville Lusitanos to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Thionville Lusitanos, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Rouen. Our top recommended betting pick is Thionville Lusitanos Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine as part of the National 1.
