1. Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Mārupe
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Tukums II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mārupe wins
0
Draws
0
Tukums II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
40%
20%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Mārupe
last 6 at home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Tukums II
last 5 away from home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
4.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mārupe | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Mārupe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
30%
Behind
70%
Tukums II
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
22%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mārupe face Tukums II in 1. Liga. Mārupe have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game). Tukums II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 14 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Mārupe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mārupe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Mārupe, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Tukums II. Our top recommended betting pick is Mārupe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
