Serie A · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Genoa
Home
1-1
Full time
Luigi Ferraris
Frosinone
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
22%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Genoa wins
0
Draws
0
Frosinone wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Genoa
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Frosinone
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Genoa | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Genoa
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Frosinone
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Genoa face Frosinone in Serie A. Genoa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Frosinone have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
Frosinone's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Frosinone to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Genoa, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Frosinone. Our top recommended betting pick is Frosinone Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris as part of the Serie A.
