Segunda Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Felgueiras 1932
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos
Penafiel
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Felgueiras 1932 wins
0
Draws
0
Penafiel wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
73%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Felgueiras 1932
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Penafiel
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Felgueiras 1932 | Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Felgueiras 1932
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Penafiel
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Felgueiras 1932 face Penafiel in Segunda Liga. Felgueiras 1932 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Penafiel have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Felgueiras 1932, home advantage and superior chance creation make Felgueiras 1932 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Felgueiras 1932, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Penafiel. Our top recommended betting pick is Felgueiras 1932 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos as part of the Segunda Liga.
