Ligi kuu Bara · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Polisi Tanzania
Home
2-0
Full time
Ushirika Stadium
Mbeya City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
10%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Polisi Tanzania wins
0
Draws
0
Mbeya City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Polisi Tanzania
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Mbeya City
last 6 away from home
3W
3D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
0.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Polisi Tanzania | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 7/10 70% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Polisi Tanzania
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Mbeya City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Polisi Tanzania |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Mbeya City |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Polisi Tanzania face Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara. Polisi Tanzania have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Mbeya City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 86% probability backing Polisi Tanzania, home advantage and superior chance creation make Polisi Tanzania to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Polisi Tanzania, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Mbeya City. Our top recommended betting pick is Polisi Tanzania Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Ushirika Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
