Derde Divisie · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Sparta Nijkerk
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Hércules
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Nijkerk wins
0
Draws
0
Hércules wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
5%
93%
Attack
33%
20%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sparta Nijkerk
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
3.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Hércules
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sparta Nijkerk | Hércules | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Sparta Nijkerk
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Hércules
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
33%
Behind
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sparta Nijkerk |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |
Hércules |
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Nijkerk face Hércules in Derde Divisie. Sparta Nijkerk have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 12 (1.6 points per game). Hércules have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 15 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Sparta Nijkerk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sparta Nijkerk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Sparta Nijkerk, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Hércules. Our top recommended betting pick is Sparta Nijkerk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
