Bundesliga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Borussia Dortmund
Home
3-0
Full time
Signal Iduna Park
SC Paderborn 07
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
21%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Borussia Dortmund wins
0
Draws
0
SC Paderborn 07 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
93%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Borussia Dortmund
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
SC Paderborn 07
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Borussia Dortmund | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Borussia Dortmund
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
SC Paderborn 07
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 21 |
| 13 |
SC Paderborn 07 |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Borussia Dortmund face SC Paderborn 07 in Bundesliga. Borussia Dortmund have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). SC Paderborn 07 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Borussia Dortmund, home advantage and superior chance creation make Borussia Dortmund to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Borussia Dortmund, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for SC Paderborn 07. Our top recommended betting pick is Borussia Dortmund Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park as part of the Bundesliga.
