FAW Championship · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Caerphilly Athletic
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Aberystwyth Town
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.8 - 2.41
Win probability
Home
4%
Draw
8%
Away
87%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Draw/Away
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerphilly Athletic wins
0
Draws
0
Aberystwyth Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
80%
33%
Attack
95%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
87%
Home and away record
Caerphilly Athletic
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Aberystwyth Town
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Caerphilly Athletic | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Caerphilly Athletic
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Aberystwyth Town
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 25 |
| 12 |
Caerphilly Athletic |
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerphilly Athletic face Aberystwyth Town in FAW Championship. Caerphilly Athletic have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Aberystwyth Town have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Aberystwyth Town's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 87% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Aberystwyth Town to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 4% win probability for Caerphilly Athletic, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 87% probability for Aberystwyth Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Aberystwyth Town Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
