League Two · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Oldham
Home
1-2
Full time
Boundary Park
Chesterfield
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Oldham wins
0
Draws
0
Chesterfield wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Oldham
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Chesterfield
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Oldham | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Oldham
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Chesterfield
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
22%
Behind
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Chesterfield |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 18 |
Oldham |
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Oldham face Chesterfield in League Two. Oldham have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Chesterfield have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Oldham, home advantage and superior chance creation make Oldham to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Oldham, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Chesterfield. Our top recommended betting pick is Oldham Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Boundary Park as part of the League Two.
