League Two · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Port Vale
Home
1-0
Full time
Vale Park
Exeter City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
29%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Port Vale wins
0
Draws
0
Exeter City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
53%
13%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Port Vale
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Exeter City
last 6 away from home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Port Vale | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Port Vale
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Exeter City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Exeter City |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 19 |
Port Vale |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Port Vale face Exeter City in League Two. Port Vale have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game). Exeter City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 53% probability backing Port Vale, home advantage and superior chance creation make Port Vale to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Port Vale, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Exeter City. Our top recommended betting pick is Port Vale Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Vale Park as part of the League Two.
