League One · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Oxford United
Home
3-0
Full time
Kassam Stadium
Burton Albion
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.25
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.5 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
75%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
75%
1.25
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Oxford United wins
0
Draws
0
Burton Albion wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
75%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Oxford United
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Burton Albion
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Oxford United | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Oxford United
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Burton Albion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Oxford United |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Burton Albion |
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Oxford United face Burton Albion in League One. Oxford United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Burton Albion have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 75% probability backing Oxford United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Oxford United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 75% win probability for Oxford United, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Burton Albion. Our top recommended betting pick is Oxford United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium as part of the League One.
