National League - South · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Hemel Hempstead Town
Home
1-1
Full time
Focus Community Arena
Tonbridge Angels
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hemel Hempstead Town wins
0
Draws
0
Tonbridge Angels wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Hemel Hempstead Town
last 5 at home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Tonbridge Angels
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Tonbridge Angels | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Hemel Hempstead Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Tonbridge Angels
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Tonbridge Angels |
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 24 |
| 20 |
Hemel Hempstead Town |
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hemel Hempstead Town face Tonbridge Angels in National League - South. Hemel Hempstead Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Tonbridge Angels have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Hemel Hempstead Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hemel Hempstead Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Hemel Hempstead Town, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Tonbridge Angels. Our top recommended betting pick is Hemel Hempstead Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena as part of the National League - South.
