National League - South · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Horsham
Home
1-4
Full time
The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium
Chesham United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Horsham wins
0
Draws
0
Chesham United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Horsham
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Chesham United
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Horsham | Chesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Horsham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Chesham United
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Horsham |
15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 21 |
Chesham United |
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Horsham face Chesham United in National League - South. Horsham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Chesham United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 81% probability backing Horsham, home advantage and superior chance creation make Horsham to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Horsham, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Chesham United. Our top recommended betting pick is Horsham Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium as part of the National League - South.
