Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Workington
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Ilkeston Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
27%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Workington wins
0
Draws
0
Ilkeston Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
6%
93%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Workington
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Ilkeston Town
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
0.83
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Workington | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Workington
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Ilkeston Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Workington |
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 30 |
| 20 |
Ilkeston Town |
18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Workington face Ilkeston Town in Non League Premier - Northern. Workington have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (3 points per game). Ilkeston Town have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 16 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Workington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Workington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Workington, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Ilkeston Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Workington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
