Non League Premier - Southern South · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Chertsey Town
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Malvern Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chertsey Town wins
0
Draws
0
Malvern Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
6%
60%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Chertsey Town
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
2.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Malvern Town
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chertsey Town | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Chertsey Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Malvern Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Chertsey Town |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +10 | 29 |
| 21 |
Malvern Town |
16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chertsey Town face Malvern Town in Non League Premier - Southern South. Chertsey Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Malvern Town have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Chertsey Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chertsey Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Chertsey Town, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Malvern Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Chertsey Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Southern South.
