Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Botev Ihtiman
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Natsional Sofia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
10%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Botev Ihtiman wins
0
Draws
0
Natsional Sofia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
66%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Botev Ihtiman
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Natsional Sofia
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Botev Ihtiman | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Botev Ihtiman
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Natsional Sofia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Botev Ihtiman |
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 |
Natsional Sofia |
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -9 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Botev Ihtiman face Natsional Sofia in Third League - Southwest. Botev Ihtiman have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Natsional Sofia have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 84% probability backing Botev Ihtiman, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botev Ihtiman to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Botev Ihtiman, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Natsional Sofia. Our top recommended betting pick is Botev Ihtiman Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
