Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Septemvri Simitli
Home
0-2
Full time
National Stadium Vasil Levski
FK Minyor Pernik
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Septemvri Simitli wins
0
Draws
0
FK Minyor Pernik wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Septemvri Simitli
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
FK Minyor Pernik
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Septemvri Simitli | FK Minyor Pernik | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Septemvri Simitli
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
FK Minyor Pernik
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FK Minyor Pernik |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | +28 | 39 |
| 11 |
Septemvri Simitli |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Septemvri Simitli face FK Minyor Pernik in Third League - Southwest. Septemvri Simitli have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). FK Minyor Pernik have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Septemvri Simitli, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for FK Minyor Pernik. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski as part of the Third League - Southwest.
