Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Slivnishki geroy
Home
0-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Kostinbrod
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Slivnishki geroy wins
0
Draws
0
Kostinbrod wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Slivnishki geroy
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Kostinbrod
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Slivnishki geroy | Kostinbrod | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Slivnishki geroy
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Kostinbrod
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Kostinbrod |
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 |
Slivnishki geroy |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Slivnishki geroy face Kostinbrod in Third League - Southwest. Slivnishki geroy have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Kostinbrod have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 53% probability backing Slivnishki geroy, home advantage and superior chance creation make Slivnishki geroy to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Slivnishki geroy, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Kostinbrod. Our top recommended betting pick is Slivnishki geroy Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
