Erovnuli Liga 2 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Samtredia
Home
6-1
Full time
Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
Gareji
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Samtredia wins
0
Draws
0
Gareji wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
53%
95%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Samtredia
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Gareji
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Samtredia | Gareji | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Samtredia
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Gareji
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Samtredia face Gareji in Erovnuli Liga 2. Samtredia have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Gareji have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Samtredia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Samtredia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Samtredia, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Gareji. Our top recommended betting pick is Samtredia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium as part of the Erovnuli Liga 2.
