Liga 3 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Louletano
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Algarve
União Santarém
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Louletano wins
0
Draws
0
União Santarém wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
46%
Attack
6%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Louletano
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
União Santarém
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Louletano | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
Louletano
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
União Santarém
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Louletano face União Santarém in Liga 3. Louletano have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). União Santarém have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 91% probability backing Louletano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Louletano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Louletano, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for União Santarém. Our top recommended betting pick is Louletano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Algarve as part of the Liga 3.
