New South Wales NPL · Saturday, 11 Jul 2026
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Home
2-1
Full time
Lambert Park
Sydney FC U23
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers wins
0
Draws
0
Sydney FC U23 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
75%
55%
Attack
58%
33%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Sydney FC U23
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| APIA Leichhardt Tigers | Sydney FC U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Sydney FC U23
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
APIA Leichhardt Tigers face Sydney FC U23 in New South Wales NPL. APIA Leichhardt Tigers have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Sydney FC U23 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing APIA Leichhardt Tigers, home advantage and superior chance creation make APIA Leichhardt Tigers to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Sydney FC U23. Our top recommended betting pick is APIA Leichhardt Tigers Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 at 07:30 (East Africa Time) at Lambert Park as part of the New South Wales NPL.
