Liga 3 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Lusitano Évora 1911
Home
2-2
Full time
Campo Estrela
SC Covilha
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
30%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lusitano Évora 1911 wins
0
Draws
0
SC Covilha wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
20%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Lusitano Évora 1911
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
SC Covilha
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
Lusitano Évora 1911
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
SC Covilha
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
SC Covilha |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |
Lusitano Évora 1911 |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lusitano Évora 1911 face SC Covilha in Liga 3. Lusitano Évora 1911 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). SC Covilha have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 48% probability backing Lusitano Évora 1911, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lusitano Évora 1911 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Lusitano Évora 1911, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for SC Covilha. Our top recommended betting pick is Lusitano Évora 1911 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Estrela as part of the Liga 3.
