Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone B · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Pineto
Home
2-1
Full time
Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Sambenedettese
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pineto wins
0
Draws
0
Sambenedettese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
20%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Pineto
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sambenedettese
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Pineto | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Pineto
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Sambenedettese
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Pineto |
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 |
Sambenedettese |
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pineto face Sambenedettese in Serie C - Girone B. Pineto have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game). Sambenedettese have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Sambenedettese's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sambenedettese to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Pineto, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Sambenedettese. Our top recommended betting pick is Sambenedettese Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
