Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone B · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Spezia
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadio Alberto Picco
Livorno
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spezia wins
0
Draws
0
Livorno wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
73%
73%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Spezia
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Livorno
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Spezia | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Spezia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Livorno
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Spezia face Livorno in Serie C - Girone B. Spezia have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Livorno have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Spezia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spezia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Spezia, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Livorno. Our top recommended betting pick is Spezia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
